> On Mon, 21 Aug 1995, Michael Price wrote:
>
>> Hi Jon,
>>
>> You'd make me a liar for one lousy year? ;-) Okay, okay, okay, it *was*
>> 1992. The water conditions in 1989-90 were *not* associated with an >> El Nino event. The ENSO event began in 1991 and peaked in 1992. The >> conditions continued through 1993 and kind of faded out by June 1994. >> Since then, there have been localized warm water anomalies.
>> To ascribe the 1991(?) sightings to El Nino begs the question: Why
>> weren't we swamped with Boobies through the 1992-94 period of warm >> water events?
>>
>> No idea, Jon, but to have a cluster of 1st BC/Canada/Vancouver BC >>records of warm-water subtropicals in the same ENSO summer to me >>exceeds the possibility of coincidence. But, jeez louise, *I* don't know >>why we weren't up to our keisters in boobies. God alone knows what goes >>through the minds of those amiable little guys when things fall apart. It's a >>good question: why not put it out to Tweeterland?

I take it from this last line that this was a private mail which Jon put out on Tweeterland for followups. Excuse me, Michael and Jon if this slipped out unintended but I am pouncing nonetheless. Re: the lastest El Nino: Michael is correct in that everyone had written off El Nino by the summer of 1994. What is more interesting though from a climatological standpoint is that there was an unforecasted strong resurgence of El Nino in December 1994 which raged until around the end of February 1995. This sent shock waves through the climatological community whose precious Global Circulation Models missed it entirely. I took great solace in this, knowing that Mother Nature's surprises will likely never suffer from total predictability (Mother Chaos makes sure of this). Re: Booby movements during ENSOs: I am with those who urge caution in drawing conclusions from a small number of datapoints. Only concerted hemispheric shipborne surveys during ENSOs could ever reveal enough data from which to uphold or deny any a
ssumptions. In other words, we likely will never know given the state of budgetary handouts for such scientific endeavours these days. Sorry for being so pessimistic...been tied to this damn computer for too long these days.

Jack

Jack Bowling
Prince George, BC
CANADA
jcbowling at mindlink.bc.ca