Subject: Fall Shorebird Forecast 1999
Date: Aug 25 08:32:54 1999
From: Rosalind Philips - rosalind at starlingconsulting.com


Is there something like this for Washington?

Rosalind Philips
Tumwater, WA

> -----Original Message-----
> From: TWEETERS-owner at u.washington.edu
> [mailto:TWEETERS-owner at u.washington.edu]On Behalf Of Mike Patterson
> Sent: Wednesday, August 25, 1999 8:10 AM
> To: tweeters; Oregon Birders on Line
> Subject: Fall Shorebird Forecast 1999
>
>
> Fall Shorebird Forecast for 1999
>
> The diversity peak for Fall shorebirds is fast approaching. The following
> is a forecast combining hightide data for Clatsop Beaches with past peak
> data. The forecast is based on high tide birding at the South Jetty
> of the Columbia River, parking lot c shorebird flats. Adjustments to
> your patch will be necessary. As with all forecast data, the providers
> include no guarantees for accuracy.
>
> Additional information on shorebird finding on the Columbia Estuary is
> available at:
> http://home.pacifier.com/~mpatters/archive/shore_guide.html
>
> Aug 25 to Sep 1
> The combination of full moon and 8+ tides favors medium to
> large species including Marbled Godwit, Long-billed Curlew, and Ruff.
> Afternoon high tides
> Aug 25 12:49 7.0
> Aug 26 13:25 7.3
> Aug 27 13:59 7.6
> Aug 28 14:31 7.8
> Aug 29 15:04 8.1
> Aug 30 15:39 8.2
> Aug 31 16:17 8.3
> Sep 01 17:02 8.2
>
> Best bet Aug 31. Watch the weather for afternoon frontal activity.
>
> Sep 09 to Sep 13
> New moon does not favor nighttime migration, but Pectoral
> Sandpipers,
> and Golden-plovers should peak at this period. Good time for Eurasian
> Dotterel, so keep an eye out in those cow pastures.
> Afternoon high tides
> Sep 09 13:12 7.9
> Sep 10 13:49 8.0
> Sep 11 14:23 8.0
> Sep 12 14:55 8.0
> Sep 13 15:25 7.8
> This is also the peak for passerine migrations around parking lot c and
> d
> at Ft Stevens. Most rare passerines occur after peak movements.
>
> Sep 25 to Sep 30
> Another full moon, but late in the season. There should still be
> Pectoral Sandpipers and Golden-plovers. This is a good time to start
> looking for Sharp-tails and Lapland Longspurs.
> Afternoon High tides
> Sep 25 13:17 8.2
> Sep 26 13:51 8.5
> Sep 27 14:25 8.8
> Sep 28 15:02 8.8
> Sep 29 15:43 8.7
> Sep 30 16:30 8.4
>
> This is a very high tide cycle. Those planning to go to SJCR to do
> there shorebirding should arrive at least 2 hrs before high tide.
> --
> Mike Patterson The common view of science is that it is a
> sort of machine
> Astoria, OR for increasing the race's store of
> dependable facts.
> mpatters at oregonvos.net It is that only in part; in even larger part
> it is a machine for upsetting
> undependable facts.
>
>
> ----- H.L.Mencken
> http://www.pacifier.com/~mpatters/bird/bird.html
>