It usually doesn't fail--a great place to watch the advance warnings
is at NOAA's US Hazards Assessment:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.html

The take there is not so much if but when. At a couple of clicks from
that page you can see the always entertaining, so-called Spaghetti
Maps where the various computer models 3 days to 2 weeks out are
superimposed:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/briefs/hgtP1.html

--Jerry <tangren.family at verizon.net>
East Wenatchee WA

>--------------------------------------
>1/20/06
>
>A big freeze might hit us yet;
>
>That record deep freeze in Moscow may affect us yet. I've noticed in
>the past that when there was a very cold system in Siberia, it
>tended to slide over to Alaska and on down to the US of A. I don't
>know whether that would also occur with a system as far away as
>Moscow, Russia, but it might pay to keep an eye out.
>
>To keep this message within the bird-watching realm, I'll suggest we
>keep our bird seed stocked up.
>
>Phil Hotlen
>Bellingham, WA
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