Dennis,
This is reminding me of a pattern I've seen before in the Sacramento Valley
in northern California. First we had late fall tanagers, then the rare
over-wintering individuals, and now they are regular uncommon in winter. On
the local CBC, they were reported once 1970-1999. Since 2000, they have
been reported more years than not and are now expected on the CBC. That's a
dramatic shift.
Unlike the Puget Trough, however, the Sacramento area crossed a climate
threshold about 8 years ago; it no longer freezes in winter, making a vast
array of insects and fruit available. This has meant over-wintering
tanagers, warblers, vireos, etc. I analyzed CBC data and wrote about it
here:
Avian Responses to Rapid Climate Change: Examples from the Putah Creek
Christmas Bird Count
http://www.cvbirds.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Avian-Responses-to-Rapid-Climate-Change.pdf
On Wed, Oct 13, 2021 at 12:40 PM Dennis Paulson <
dennispaulson at comcast.net>
wrote:
>
Several people have reported Western Tanagers that seemed a bit late at
>
this latitude for a Neotropical migrant, and they should have heard the
>
news by now that we are expecting a colder, wetter winter. However, I just
>
had one (13 October) bathing at our pond in NE Seattle. It was a mature
>
male in full basic (nonbreeding) plumage, with vivid black and yellow body,
>
wings and tail, most of the yellow head feathers with brownish tips. I
>
don't think I've ever seen this plumage in Washington before.
>
>
My latest date for them in the fall is usually before the end of
>
September, but I once saw one on 7 October.
>
>
Dennis Paulson
>
Seattle
>
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--
Steve Hampton
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